Sminston’s Decay Channel maps $90K–$255K BTC by end-2026 as $70.5K becomes the line
The model’s long-range upside sits alongside a bear-flag risk that could put sub-$56K in play if breakdown conditions trigger.
The model’s long-range upside sits alongside a bear-flag risk that could put sub-$56K in play if breakdown conditions trigger.
The leverage build comes as BTC tests a $78,000 cost-basis cluster with the 200-day moving average just over $81,000.
Oil and Treasury yields fell alongside the bounce as traders waited for the 18:00 UTC FOMC minutes.
Christoph Hock cited USDC’s $0.87 and $0.74 prints and criticized Tether’s gold-and-bitcoin reserve exposure.
The note tallies $90B+ in announced AI agreements covering 3.7 GW as post-halving economics push miners into hosting.
Order-book pressure stays seller-led with a -0.03 bid-ask ratio, while liquidation maps flag $74.7K and $70K as forced-flow zones.
Traders flagged $75,000–$76,000 as the next support zone as gold broke below $4,500.
Self-mining scaled to 11 EH/s and 1,808 BTC held, but Q2 revenue guidance points to another decline.
Launchpads took 42% of app revenue as trading apps grew 40%, RWAs topped $2B, and DeFi TVL fell with SOL’s price.
The Delaware bankruptcy complaint targets 11,994 BTC, $24.6M cash, and roughly 5M USDT moved before Prime Trust’s 2023 filing.
CryptoQuant’s bull-bear structure index slid to -23.49 as older-coin exchange inflows spiked to 10.54%.
TradingView’s cited cup-and-handle setup frames $71–$72 as a conditional 2026 target if the neckline breaks.
Oil briefly topped $112 as $677M in crypto liquidations and a drop in open interest signaled forced deleveraging.
The recurring chart post is being read as a near-term BTC buy tell as Strategy pushes a dividend-cadence amendment.
The endowment also cut its IBIT stake by 43% as ETH pulled back toward the $2,000–$1,700 support zone.
IBIT and ARKB led redemptions while CryptoQuant metrics were framed as a temporary correction signal.
ERC20 USDT led the May 14 inflow as Bitcoin kept reversing between $78,000 support and $82,000 resistance.
The project claims Taproot and threshold signatures can add programmability and optional ZK privacy without WBTC-style wrappers.
SBI and Rakuten are developing in-house products as the FSA targets 2028 to let trusts hold crypto.
BTC slipped below $79,000 after failing at $82,000, with perp funding turning defensive and price tracking small-cap risk.