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Crypto

CASHCAT Drops ~30% Into Rising-Channel Support With Funding Still Positive

Bull Bear Power stays heavily bearish, but MFI rose to ~35.5 and funding held at 0.0078%.

By Emma Carter4 min read

CashCat (CASHCAT) fell roughly 30% over the past 24 hours, sliding into the lower support of a broader rising bullish channel after a failed push through structural horizontal resistance. Derivatives positioning stayed net-long with funding still positive at 0.0078%, even as Bull Bear Power printed its most bearish reading since Sept. 10.

CASHCAT Dumps ~30% Into Rising-Channel Support as Broader Crypto Cap Shrinks

CASHCAT sold off roughly 30% over the past 24 hours amid a broader shrinkage in crypto market capital, pushing the memecoin down into the lower boundary of a rising bullish channel that has defined its recent structure. The move matters less for the headline percentage drop than for where it landed, because the channel’s lower line is the level that has previously acted as a pivot point for rebounds.

The chart setup described the decline as following a breach of a structural horizontal resistance line, after which price rotated lower into channel support rather than breaking the broader rising structure outright. In a rising channel, traders typically treat the lower boundary as the “line in the sand” for trend continuation, with the upper boundary acting as the next resistance zone if support holds.

The catch is that the rebound claim is framed as a fractal, meaning “it bounced here before, so it can bounce here again,” but the prior instances are not quantified with dates or rebound sizes. That leaves traders with a clean technical inflection and a messier evidence base on how reliable the level has been historically.

Positioning Divergence: Bears Dominate Bull Bear Power, but MFI Rises and Funding Stays Positive

Positioning and flow indicators are not lining up into a single narrative yet, which is why this is reading as a bounce-versus-breakdown decision point rather than a resolved trend. Bull Bear Power, the indicator used to gauge which side is dominating, showed bears in control, with the red histogram bar described as the highest level of bearish influence since Sept. 10. That reference point matters because it frames the current sell pressure as elevated even by recent standards.

At the same time, Money Flow Index (MFI), a price-and-volume oscillator used to infer capital moving in or out, was described as “surging forward” to roughly 35.5 as price tagged channel support. The interpretation offered is straightforward: as price hit support, capital inflow increased, likely because buy orders were triggered in that zone.

Derivatives data also failed to confirm panic hedging. Funding on perpetual futures remained positive at 0.0078% despite a slight decline over the past day, implying that the majority of open contracts were positioned long. Spot market netflow was also described as net buying, which is consistent with dip-buying interest near support, though no netflow figure, venue breakdown, or precise timeframe granularity was provided.

Near-term, the market is left with four practical checkpoints that will decide whether the “support held” story is real or just a pause inside a larger unwind.

1. Channel integrity: Whether CASHCAT holds the rising-channel support zone on the next retest, or breaks cleanly below the channel structure. 2. Bear pressure: Whether Bull Bear Power’s bearish histogram contracts from the “highest since Sept. 10” reading, which would indicate sell-side control is easing. 3. Perp positioning: Whether funding stays positive around 0.0078% or flips negative, which would signal a shift away from the current net-long bias. 4. Inflow persistence: Whether MFI continues rising from ~35.5 (continued inflow) or rolls over, which would suggest dip-buying failed to stick.

My Read: This Is a Support-Test Trade Until the Bear Pressure Eases or the Channel Breaks

The move is being framed as a likely rebound because the channel support has “historically triggered rallies,” but that claim is doing more work than the data provided, since the prior bounces are not quantified and the current tape still has bears firmly in control on Bull Bear Power. The threshold that matters is whether that bearish dominance starts to fade from an elevated reading, because without that contraction, positive funding and a rising MFI can just be the market catching bids on the way down.

If the channel holds and the bearish histogram cools while funding stays positive, the setup starts to look structural rather than narrative-driven, with dip-buying near support actually absorbing supply. If the channel breaks cleanly while funding remains net-long, the risk is that positioning becomes fuel for another leg lower, and the “fractal” turns into a failed support retest that traders will remember for the wrong reason.

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