Basics
Foundations of prediction markets — what they are, how they work, the mechanics behind the prices.
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Learn about Basics
How do prediction markets work: Contracts, order books, and settlement
They turn a $1 payoff into a tradable price signal, then rely on a matching engine and a resolution process to pay winners.
How prediction markets resolve: rules, oracles, disputes, and settlement
Resolution finalizes a market to one outcome using a prewritten rulebook and a specified data source, then triggers a fixed payout and ends trading.
How to use Polymarket for beginners: a safe onboarding checklist
Start by browsing markets without logging in, then set up auth, deposits on Polygon, and wallet gas so trades and API orders don’t fail.
What is Kalshi and how does it work: Event contracts on a CFTC-regulated exchange
Kalshi is a federally regulated U.S. derivatives exchange where traders buy and sell yes-or-no event contracts that settle at $1 or $0.
What are prediction markets? How event contracts turn prices into forecasts
Prediction markets trade event-linked contracts whose prices can be read as odds, but liquidity, informed flow, and regulation decide how trustworthy that signal is.
