Mercados de Previsão

A Lei que Impede os Legisladores de Fazer Previsões estabelece uma penalidade civil de $2.000 ou 10% e exclui os funcionários da Casa Branca.

A camada de monitoramento visa o risco de MNPI à medida que as restrições estaduais e a litígios da CFTC remodelam o acesso a contratos de eventos.

O lançamento nos EUA combina transferências de ações/ETFs com um roteiro para opções, variantes de contratos perpétuos e mercados de previsão.

O presidente Michael Selig destacou a forense de blockchain e a IA enquanto o Congresso avalia uma nova divisão entre a SEC e a CFTC em relação às criptomoedas.

Um amigo de Gensler e uma nova ação judicial no Novo México intensificam a luta sobre se os contratos esportivos são swaps ou jogos.

O Base DEX afirma que o mecanismo em tempo real recompensará a direção de incentivos para pools que se espera que vejam demanda futura.

The Sixth Circuit filing undercuts Kalshi and current CFTC leadership pushing federal primacy over state gaming rules.

Gambling volume stayed near its Q4 2025 record despite a broader 2025–2026 crypto market correction.

Polymarket’s 2025 volume was estimated at $22B–$40B, with three sports contracts topping $730M combined.

Bryan Steil expects House leaders to tee up a summer floor vote pairing the add-on with a congressional stock-trading ban.

A June 1 8-K revealed 32 BTC sold in late May, leaving a $14.65M contract hinging on timing rules.

The move signals a U.S. regulatory pathway for crypto perps, but the exchange and contract specs remain undisclosed.

A May 26–June 10 campaign offers 35,000 USDC in incentives as the product remains in whitelist testing.

Regulators expect the proceedings to resolve in three to four months, keeping access restricted in the interim.

XRP and SOL ETFs also took in fresh money as HYPE rallied and Hyperliquid posted $13.2M in weekly fees.

The report also claims the agency dropped at least five crypto probes and cut enforcement actions to two under Trump.

Comer alleged 80+ Iran-linked “suspiciously timed” trades and cited a May 13 report on geopolitics and election contracts.

The platform has appointed Mike Eidlin to lead local efforts while Japan remains on its restricted-jurisdiction list.

The note argues HYPE is being valued as “just perps” despite Hyperliquid’s multi-asset ambitions and non-crypto-linked volume.

The new contracts let traders price fundraises, valuation changes, and other private-company milestones.