Prediction Market Trading
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Start hereTrading prediction markets: A trader’s guide to event contracts, liquidity, and exits
Event contracts trade from $0 to $1, so the job is managing probability moves and execution, not just being right at settlement.
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Learn about Prediction Market Trading
How to trade prediction markets on Fed days
The edge is matching your thesis to each contract’s resolution rule and close time, not guessing “hawkish” or “dovish.”
Can AI bots trade prediction markets profitably
Bots can earn by enforcing YES+NO parity and capturing spreads, but thin liquidity and operational risk cap sustainable returns.
How to find good Polymarket trades using order book edge
A good Polymarket trade needs both a probability edge and an execution edge, because the displayed price can be a midpoint or a stale last trade.
How to do prediction market arbitrage with a 3-check gate
True arbitrage only exists when contracts match on settlement, you can fill both legs at size, and fees still leave a net edge.
