预测市场 — Page 2
Rep. Bryan Steil bill would bar Congress families from policy bets on Kalshi and Polymarket
The Stop Lawmakers from Predicting Act sets a $2,000-or-10% civil penalty and excludes White House officials.
TRM Labs: Prediction markets hit $36.6B in Q1, overtaking onchain gambling at $14B
Gambling volume stayed near its Q4 2025 record despite a broader 2025–2026 crypto market correction.
DRW builds a prediction-market desk to arbitrage Polymarket and Kalshi
Polymarket’s 2025 volume was estimated at $22B–$40B, with three sports contracts topping $730M combined.
House GOP moves to add lawmaker prediction-market limits to stalled H.R. 7008
Bryan Steil expects House leaders to tee up a summer floor vote pairing the add-on with a congressional stock-trading ban.
Strategy’s first disclosed BTC sale puts Polymarket’s May 31 market into UMA review
A June 1 8-K revealed 32 BTC sold in late May, leaving a $14.65M contract hinging on timing rules.
CFTC Chair Says Agency Permitted a “True” Bitcoin Perpetual on a U.S.-Registered Exchange
The move signals a U.S. regulatory pathway for crypto perps, but the exchange and contract specs remain undisclosed.
XBIT DEX opens whitelist for 2x–5x leveraged prediction markets tied to 2026 World Cup
A May 26–June 10 campaign offers 35,000 USDC in incentives as the product remains in whitelist testing.
Spain orders Polymarket and Kalshi blocked during gambling-licensing case
Regulators expect the proceedings to resolve in three to four months, keeping access restricted in the interim.
Bitcoin and ether ETFs bleed $1.2B as new HYPE spot products pull $72.38M
XRP and SOL ETFs also took in fresh money as HYPE rallied and Hyperliquid posted $13.2M in weekly fees.
NYT alleges CFTC sidelined staff who challenged Polymarket, Crypto.com, and Gemini affiliate
The report also claims the agency dropped at least five crypto probes and cut enforcement actions to two under Trump.
House Oversight Chair Comer seeks Kalshi and Polymarket records on insider-trading controls
Comer alleged 80+ Iran-linked “suspiciously timed” trades and cited a May 13 report on geopolitics and election contracts.



















