Prediction Markets — Page 3

The case sets up a federal preemption fight over whether event contracts fall under CFTC jurisdiction.

The experimental product revives Meta’s shelved Forecast concept as event contracts face CFTC scrutiny.

The comments land after May BTC-linked perp approvals and as CME sues the agency under the Commodity Exchange Act.

The Stop Lawmakers from Predicting Act sets a $2,000-or-10% civil penalty and excludes White House officials.

The monitoring layer targets MNPI risk as state restrictions and CFTC litigation reshape event-contract access.

The US rollout pairs stock/ETF transfers with a roadmap for options, perps variants, and prediction markets.

Chair Michael Selig highlighted blockchain forensics and AI as Congress weighs a new SEC–CFTC crypto split.

A Gensler amicus and a fresh New Mexico lawsuit sharpen the fight over whether sports contracts are swaps or gaming.

The Base DEX says the real-time mechanism will reward directing incentives to pools expected to see future demand.

The Sixth Circuit filing undercuts Kalshi and current CFTC leadership pushing federal primacy over state gaming rules.

Gambling volume stayed near its Q4 2025 record despite a broader 2025–2026 crypto market correction.

Polymarket’s 2025 volume was estimated at $22B–$40B, with three sports contracts topping $730M combined.

Bryan Steil expects House leaders to tee up a summer floor vote pairing the add-on with a congressional stock-trading ban.

A June 1 8-K revealed 32 BTC sold in late May, leaving a $14.65M contract hinging on timing rules.

The move signals a U.S. regulatory pathway for crypto perps, but the exchange and contract specs remain undisclosed.

A May 26–June 10 campaign offers 35,000 USDC in incentives as the product remains in whitelist testing.

Regulators expect the proceedings to resolve in three to four months, keeping access restricted in the interim.

XRP and SOL ETFs also took in fresh money as HYPE rallied and Hyperliquid posted $13.2M in weekly fees.

The report also claims the agency dropped at least five crypto probes and cut enforcement actions to two under Trump.

Comer alleged 80+ Iran-linked “suspiciously timed” trades and cited a May 13 report on geopolitics and election contracts.