Prediction Markets — Page 2

The campaign pairs viral marketing with a CFTC-supervised sports-betting app launched in December.

Ethereum’s relative bounce is being priced off policy expectations while on-chain metrics lag and reported Bitcoin inflows flip positive.

Tokenized assets reached a $3.5B record and prediction markets gained traction, while funding fell to 3% from 11% in two days.

The initial feed includes full displayed order-book depth and opening and closing auction imbalance data for blockchain apps.

A court filing described a $120,000-per-day penalty tied to geolocation compliance, with the order set to expire July 13.

The research flags antitrust and state-vs-federal jurisdiction risk around sports event contracts.

He anchored the slump to BTC’s slide from an ATH above $126,000 to around $60,000 and flagged U.S. policy timing as a sentiment catalyst.

The case sets up a federal preemption fight over whether event contracts fall under CFTC jurisdiction.

The experimental product revives Meta’s shelved Forecast concept as event contracts face CFTC scrutiny.

The comments land after May BTC-linked perp approvals and as CME sues the agency under the Commodity Exchange Act.

The Stop Lawmakers from Predicting Act sets a $2,000-or-10% civil penalty and excludes White House officials.

The monitoring layer targets MNPI risk as state restrictions and CFTC litigation reshape event-contract access.

The US rollout pairs stock/ETF transfers with a roadmap for options, perps variants, and prediction markets.

Chair Michael Selig highlighted blockchain forensics and AI as Congress weighs a new SEC–CFTC crypto split.

A Gensler amicus and a fresh New Mexico lawsuit sharpen the fight over whether sports contracts are swaps or gaming.

The Base DEX says the real-time mechanism will reward directing incentives to pools expected to see future demand.

The Sixth Circuit filing undercuts Kalshi and current CFTC leadership pushing federal primacy over state gaming rules.

Gambling volume stayed near its Q4 2025 record despite a broader 2025–2026 crypto market correction.

Polymarket’s 2025 volume was estimated at $22B–$40B, with three sports contracts topping $730M combined.

Bryan Steil expects House leaders to tee up a summer floor vote pairing the add-on with a congressional stock-trading ban.