Crypto
Coinbase shifts to neutral Q3 2026 Bitcoin view, flags $53K floor and $72.3K/$76K tests
Analysts see early bottoming via Supply in Loss near 50%, but say hawkish macro and geopolitics can delay a durable low.
Kalshi
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Start hereWhat is Kalshi and how does it work: Event contracts on a CFTC-regulated exchange
Kalshi is a federally regulated U.S. derivatives exchange where traders buy and sell yes-or-no event contracts that settle at $1 or $0.
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Learn about Kalshi
Kalshi fees explained: trading commissions, maker-taker pricing, and funding costs
Kalshi’s core cost is a per-contract fee that peaks at 1.75¢ at 50¢, plus separate deposit and withdrawal charges that depend on payment method.
Kalshi election markets explained: how prices, liquidity, and settlement create “odds”
Kalshi lists CFTC-regulated election event contracts that trade from $0 to $1 and settle at $1 or $0, so the price can be read as a probability only when the market is liquid and the rules are clear.
Latest Kalshi News
Crypto
House hearing ties CLARITY Act to expanding CFTC reach over prediction markets
Testimony flagged CFTC staffing limits as state court fights intensify around Kalshi and Polymarket.
Crypto
Washington judge issues injunction blocking Kalshi sports prediction markets in-state
The order cites Washington gambling laws, leaving the scope and user impact unclear from the available packet.
Crypto
France’s ANJ orders ISPs to geoblock Polymarket
Regulators cited illegal gambling status, ad-related criminal exposure, and a prosecutor-led probe into missing KYC controls.
Crypto
Kalshi refers alleged Trump speech-linked trades to CFTC after $100K profit claim
A longtime teleprompter operator was placed on unpaid leave as regulators weigh a settlement over “Mentions” contracts.
Crypto
Trump to host senators Thursday as CLARITY Act heads toward a pre-recess push
Lummis expects new text within days and a Senate floor slot next week as prediction markets price a vote higher than enactment.
Crypto
CFTC orders Kalshi not to cancel executed Michigan trades after state court demand
The regulator framed forced reversals as a threat to contract certainty on a CFTC-registered venue.
AI
ChatGPT quietly surfaces Kalshi World Cup win probabilities in search results
The odds appear as implied chances of winning and are labeled informational-only, with no in-app betting.
Crypto
Wall Street banks tighten staff rules on prediction-market trading as Polymarket seeks US margin
Goldman, Morgan Stanley and Bank of America are moving on employee restrictions as World Cup volumes hit records.
AI
Paradigm closes $1.2B Fund IV and expands mandate into AI and robotics
The crypto VC says it will stay crypto-first while investing across “other frontiers,” citing Hyperliquid and Kalshi.
Crypto
Polymarket launches U.S. influencer and MLB/media push after four-year ban
The campaign pairs viral marketing with a CFTC-supervised sports-betting app launched in December.
Crypto
Bitcoin Drops to $61,500 as Trump Says Iran Ceasefire Is “Over”
Oil cleared $75 on Strait of Hormuz blockade threats as markets repriced toward higher September hike odds.
Crypto
World Cup trading lifts Kalshi to nearly $9.4B June volume as scrutiny tightens
Polymarket International rose to roughly $4.3B as US and EU regulators sharpen their stance on event contracts.
Crypto
Nasdaq routes TotalView depth-of-book data into Pyth marketplace
The initial feed includes full displayed order-book depth and opening and closing auction imbalance data for blockchain apps.
Crypto
Michigan judge issues 14-day TRO blocking Kalshi sports contracts for residents
A court filing described a $120,000-per-day penalty tied to geolocation compliance, with the order set to expire July 13.
Crypto
Bernstein: Prediction markets are vertically integrating, setting up cross-industry M&A
The research flags antitrust and state-vs-federal jurisdiction risk around sports event contracts.
Crypto
Kalshi sues Illinois to block SB 3019 sports-contract licensing ahead of July 1
The case sets up a federal preemption fight over whether event contracts fall under CFTC jurisdiction.
Crypto
Cboe launches Cboe Predicts with S&P 500 “yes/no” close contracts
Interactive Brokers is live first, and Cboe expects Charles Schwab access in the coming months.
Crypto
Meta develops ‘Arena’ prediction-style app with points, leaving real-money option open
The experimental product revives Meta’s shelved Forecast concept as event contracts face CFTC scrutiny.
Crypto
CFTC Chair Selig says 24/7 perpetuals don’t fit agriculture markets
The comments land after May BTC-linked perp approvals and as CME sues the agency under the Commodity Exchange Act.
